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FED rate is likely to be unchanged next 6 months. World major interest rates remain at low levels

20 نوامبر 2019 Array

Federal Reserve System's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) due to release its FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday (19:00 pm GMT). The markets does not expect a major news from it. However, it is vital for every financial institution in the world to understand the future sentiment for monetary policy in United States. The sentiment on the market is positive towards Fed rate unchanged until July 2020 with 43% of investors seeing rates unchanged according to CBOE Target rate probability futures. Vast majority of the investors (99.3% says rates unlikely to change on FOMC December meeting).

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No impeachment issues for the market. Trump likely to hold the office

19 نوامبر 2019 Array

The impeachment inquiry by Democratic majority in the U.S. House of Representative went as an early bird presidential campaign in 2020. Democratic representatives are starving for something that might look like a personal vendetta to an alien President Donald Trump. This inquiry could be considered as a culmination of political confrontation between traditional American political mode and a new assertive way of ruling the country.

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No US-China phase one trade deal likely this year?

18 نوامبر 2019 Array

Recent developments in US-China Trade talks are seen rather disappointing than optimistic. Despite the calming signals from US officials of a first phase broad trade agreement is entering final stages there is a significant risk the talks could take longer than expected mid-December deadline.

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The big oil tug-of-war: Crude prices pushed up ahead of Aramco’s IPO

15 نوامبر 2019 Array

WTI Crude futures prices ranged $56-58 ahead of the Saudi Arabian oil giant Aramco IPO, which starts on Sunday Nov, 17th. The WTI futures rose almost 10% from the beginning of 2019.

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Why Trump's Speech is Important

11 نوامبر 2019 Brian Cooper

Crude oil prices, the Norwegian Krone and Swedish Krona may all rise if US President Donald Trump's speech on trade policy amplifies market buoyancy and leads capital to flow into cycle-sensitive assets.

NOK, SEK and Brent may also get an additional boost if US CPI and retail sales data show improvement in the world's largest economy. However, local data out of the EU, Sweden and Norway could reverse some of NOK and SEK's gains.

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Gold Price Forecast

04 نوامبر 2019 Brian Cooper

The price of gold attempts to break out of the range-bound price action from the previous month, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) highlighting a similar dynamic as data prints coming out of the US point to a slowing economy.


The reaction to the 128K rise in US Non-Farm Payrolls was short lived, with the price of gold climbing to a session-high of $1516 as the ISM Manufacturing survey crossed the wires at 48.3 versus expectations for a 48.9 print.


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Does he have enough support to get his Brexit deal through

21 اکتبر 2019 Brian Cooper

After the amendment has passed, Johnson has reluctantly sent in a request to the EU to seek for a three-month extension to the Brexit deadline. However, he also sent a subsequent letter explaining why the UK government did not want an extension.


The idea behind this is to keep the pressure on UK lawmakers to agree on something at least before yet another extension.


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The Monster in NETFLIX

17 اکتبر 2019 Brian Cooper


Netflix shares climbed 10% higher on Wednesday after the company revealed it surpassed analyst expectations in the most recent quarter.


The company generated $5.42 billion in revenue, translating to $1.47 earnings per share, compared to the expected $5.25 billion and $1.05 EPS. Alongside financials, Netflix revealed it failed to meet subscriber growth expectations, adding only 6.7 million versus the 6.8 million that Wall Street analysts were looking for.

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Can Boris Johnson get a Brexit deal through the finish line?

16 اکتبر 2019 Brian Cooper

At first glance, a middle ground of UK and the EU is trying to land on in negotiations. Both sides moving closer towards a Brexit deal sounds good but the key giveaway is that it is a deal that is conditional on DUP support.


Boris Johnson has but two choices at the end of the day:

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Chinese exports to fall by 3%

14 اکتبر 2019 Brian Cooper

China's import and export data for September came in worse than expected amid the country's ongoing trade friction with the U.S., Reuters reported on Monday, citing the Chinese customs.


In U.S. dollar terms, China's exports fell 3.2% in September from a year ago, while imports dropped 8.5% during the same period, according to Reuters. The country's total trade balance in September was $39.65 billion, Reuters said.


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Market Focus

  • German producer prices fell more than forecast in October
  • ECB's Lane rules out eurozone recession, says recovery in next year or two
  • Excessive risk-taking and falling bank profitability cloud euro zone’s growth - ECB
  • Bundesbank: Domestic economy will probably continue to provide momentum
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